Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Election Observations

Today is Aug. 19.  There are 450 days until Election Day 2016.  Thatt's a lifetime in terms of who will make it all the way to Election Day.  Right now, there are 17 Republican candidates in the race.  The field will be whittled down quickly.

Right now, it's basically a popularity contest.  Trump is on top in the polls because he's a famous name.  I can't believe people are taking him seriously.  I think Trump is in the race only to disrupt and create division within the GOP ranks.  Trump is running to promote Trump.  He's not a Republican, and his  star will fade fastt  (although it would be fun to see Trump debate Hillary).

I look for the field of candidates to thin out pretty quickly.  Gilmore, Graham and Pataki will be the firsts to go because no one knows who they are.  Perry and Santorum will follow.  They are holdovers from the 2012 election, but their time has passed.

Jeb Bush would have a better chance if his name wasn't Bush.  Maybe he should change his name to Clinton.

The Gang of Governors (Walker, Jindal, Christie and Kasich) are strong candidates, but there''s not a standout among them.  Kasich lost my respect with his answer  about same-sex marriage.  He said we must love gays and accept same-sex marrige.  Well, he's half right. Love them, yes!  Accept same-sex marriage, NEVER!  It is wrong no matter what five unelected lawyers on the Supreme Court say.

Carson and Fiorina are smart and very popular, but I really think they lack the experience needed to hold the most powerful job in the world.  The same can be said about first-term senators Marco Rubio and Rand Paul.

The exception is  Cruz.  Even though he's a first-termer, he has proved he can take a stand for consvative values. I look for him to go far.   He has a very good chance of making it all the way to the nomination.

Then there's my top choice: Mike Huckabee.  His chances aren't that great, but in the unpredictable world of politics, anything can happen!

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